At the end of the month, the 55-percent handicapper would have gone 83-67 for a gain of 9.3 units, while the 60-percent handicapper would have gone 18-12 for a profit of 4.8 units, so the 55-percent handicapper has made nearly twice as much.
If somebody were to ask you if you would rather be a 60-percent handicapper or a 55-percent handicapper, which would you choose? The obvious answer is that it’s better to be a 60-percent handicapper, but that isn’t necessarily true.
For the bettors that do their own handicapping, however, units won is really the only thing you should be concerned with, as that ultimately is going to translate into the bottom line. A winning percentage of 55-percent sure doesn’t sound as sexy as a 60-percent handicapper, but if your volume of plays is high enough, it can certainly be much more profitable.
Making it more difficult for sports bettors is that some sports services will claim to have won 200 units in a particular sport, but don’t mention that they release 10- or 20-unit plays, along with several 100-unit “locks” at the end of the year if things aren’t going so well and they need something to base next year’s advertising on.
The 55-percent handicapper is using what is commonly referred to as the Wal-Mart Approach, which is to have a lot of volume with the expectation of grinding out a small profit. With baseball season coming back in about 4 months, many sports gamblers will be seeing ads from different sports services claiming winning percentages of 65-percent for baseball, and that’s entirely possibly, but what the services aren’t saying is that the majority of their selections were favorites of -200 or more, turning that 65-percent handicapping into a losing proposition.
The only statistic that sports bettors should be concerned with is units won, which is the amount of profit, or loss, they have over time, and not worry nearly as much about winning percentage. In the question above, it would be much better to be a 55-percent handicapper if you were playing 150 games a month, as opposed to a 60-percent handicapper playing one game a day. And as is the case with the Arkansas-based giant, many times this will be more profitable than being extremely selective and doing a small amount of volume, even if the mark-up is higher.
The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.
The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.
The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.
Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..
Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.
The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.
Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.
So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.
College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. This is where an important word of caution is in order though.
NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.
. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.
So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.
By: Manny G
So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won)
Forget who will be successful the match, we can bet within the rating at half time, who will score first, the quantity of bookings as well as the number of corners. A be aware of caution right here – as at all times, a sound approach and system is expected or your chance and publicity can get out of hand betting this fashion!
Around the past couple of years I’ve examined many methods intended to develop earnings on Betfair. These can be much less ‘liquid’ on Betfair meaning there may be much less income flowing all-around but this could also perform in your favour in finding worth bets.
The selection of betting trade football betting isn’t just concerning the globally coverage, it’s regarding the assortment of outcomes we can bet on. Extremely often you won’t even recognise the team names or even their countries of origin! This doesn’t matter certainly as the web contains each of the information you need to see for making sound betting conclusions on and make a profit on these obscure video game titles. But is it probable for making a income betting the football markets on Betfair?
In addition as the conventional means of putting a bet earlier than kick off we may now bet in execute on several matches. Sadly, extremely minor has delivered aside from in the short phrase. They may be ignored by many other gamblers but together with the proper method and entry to some info it’s uncomplicated to spot traits and build successful methods for Betfair round these.. These ‘fringe’ markets open up wonderful alternatives for those of us wanting to make income in football betting. This creates a strong industry for those people of us prepared to lay their ‘no hope’ staff for the great value!
Faustino Pereria is an experienced business coach and management consultant with Business Growth Accelerators, specializing in growing retail and service industry businesses, and professional practices.
The sheer quantity of football video game titles on which we will now bet on Betfair opens up a huge likely market place all twelve months round. This opens up a different dynamic as we are able to reply to and business away bets because the game unfolds. Improved obtain to new betting markets and the speed and simplicity of on the internet betting has elevated this recognition even additional.
Betting on football – or soccer as we English name it – is 1 with the most popular gambling markets from the globe. I stay convinced there is certainly good likely to produce money on Betfair in football betting because you can find so many what I phrase ‘mug punters’ and ‘fan punters.’ These are the individuals who, in spite of every thing the kind and statistical files is there to reveal to us, will back again their favourite crew inside the hope they’ll by some means snatch a acquire
To be sure, I’m eager to sit down with [MLB commissioner Rob] Manfred to address my entire history — the good and the bad — and my long personal journey since baseball. But the newly surfaced documents could spell an end to the 74-year-old legend’s Cooperstown aspirations.
Rose issued a statement to ESPN through his lawyer, Raymond Genco.
- John Dowd, MLB investigator. Postal Inspection Service in October 1989. He refused to give them to us.”
Pete Rose’s long insistence that he never gambled on baseball while playing the game may be unraveling, after ESPN unearthed documents it says shows he bet on the Cincinnati Reds while a player-manager in the last year of his illustrious career.
Major League Baseball has historically reserved its harshest punishment for players who gamble on the sport, claiming such wagers affect baseball’s integrity – even if a player such as Rose bet on his own team to win.
In the five months covered by the notebook, Rose allegedly placed at least one bet on baseball 30 times, as well as placing wagers on other sports, ESPN reported. Rose, who would certainly be in the Hall of Fame if not for his ban, has long lobbied to be allowed back into the sport. The actual notebook has remained under court-ordered seal for 26 years and is currently stored in the National Archives’ New York office.
Dowd said his team had sought the records in order to prove Rose bet on the sport while a player.
Rose, the sport’s all-time leader with 4,256 hits, has been banned from the sport since 1989. That meeting likely will come sometime after the All-Star break. Most of the bets were for about $2,000.
This closes the door,” said John Dowd, the former federal prosecutor
The documents obtained by ESPN’s “Outside the Lines” are copies of pages from a notebook seized from the home of former Rose associate Michael Bertolini during a raid by the U.S. “We tried to get them. Therefore at this point, it’s not appropriate to comment on any specifics.”
“We knew that [Bertolini] recorded the bets, and that he bet himself, but we never had his records,” Dowd told ESPN. For the next 15 years, he insisted he never gambled, then in 2004 admitted he had but only as a manager. “I need to maintain that. This closes the door,” said John Dowd, the former federal prosecutor who led MLB’s 1989 investigation.
“Since we submitted the application earlier this year, we committed to MLB that we would not comment on specific matters relating to reinstatement,” the statement read.
“This does it. The sports network said the papers’ authenticity has been verified by two people who took part in the raid, which was part of an unrelated mail fraud probe
The 5-foot-9, 175-pound Mathieu got his nickname for his fearlessness on the gridiron. He also has four picks, 11 forced fumbles and eight fumble recoveries, as well as four touchdowns, two on punt returns and two on fumble returns.
LSU did not say which team rule Mathieu broke. because the honey badger takes what it wants, and Tyrann takes what he wants on the field,” ESPN reported today in a profile.
It’s been said that Honey Badger don’t care, but what may be more accurate is that Honey Badger don’t play – at least not for the LSU Tigers.
According to LSU, the Columbus, Ohio, native who attended high school in New Orleans, has registered 133 tackles – 16 for a loss – in 26 games for the Tigers. The 20-year-old All-American ran into trouble last year when he and two other players violated the team’s drug policy. We will do what we can as coaches, teammates, and friends to get him on a path where he can have success. However, with that being said, we have a standard that our players are held to and when that standard is not met, there are consequences.”
Miles added, “It’s hard because we all love Tyrann. ESPN reported at the time that the trio tested positive for synthetic marijuana.
The team, which played in last year’s national college football championship game, announced this afternoon that their top player and arguably the nation’s best cornerback, Tyrann Mathieu, has been dismissed for violating team policy.
“This is a very difficult day for our team,” head coach Les Miles said. In addition to winning the Chuck Bednarik Award, given to the top defensive player, he came in fifth in Heisman voting with 34 first-place votes and was the only defensive player among 10 finalists.
The sports network had to add an editor’s note, saying, “This story was published prior to Tyrann Mathieu’s dismissal from LSU’s football program on August 10.”
Said the Dallas Cowboys’ Morris Claiborne, a former teammate of Mathieu’s: “Tyrann deserved the nickname … We are going to miss him.”. “We lose a quality person, teammate and contributor to the program. Honey badgers are known to scrap with animals many times their size, including lions, and even tangle (successfully) with poisonous snakes.
Mathieu and the others were suspended for their team’s game against Auburn.
Despite missing the game, Mathieu was still a finalist for the Heisman Trophy, awarded to college football’s best player, as a sophomore
would be using them already? Anyway, that’s enough, lets get into some weight training for wrestling plans.
Please note that Tom bases all of his core movements (Squat, Bench, Clean, Deadlift, etc.) off of percentages of your max. The other day I was fortunate enough to have former Cornell Wrestling Strength Coach, Tom Dilliplane, send me a copy of his 16-week summer program. However these weight training for wrestling plans consist of exercises with sandbags, kettlebells, tires, kegs, thick reps, and a lot of other training tools that most wrestler don’t have access to. While there are some similarities, football players should be more focused on developing absolute strength, whereas wrestlers should focus their weight training on relative strength and power (strength per bodyweight).
Weighted Pullups- 3×10
Dumbbell Incline Bench- 4×8
Day 1 Weight Training for Wrestling
Weighted Pullups- 3×10
Superset- Cuban Press 3×12 and Tricep Kickbacks 3×10
Cable Row- 3×10
As the sport of wrestling continues to grow (with at least some thanks going to the increasing popularity of MMA), weight training for wrestling has become a very sought after. Yes, those YouTube videos of someone performing a cool looking exercise with a big tire look cool. “Hardcore” equipment like this exists at underground gyms and training facilities and if you’re a member of one of those, there’s a good chance you already have someone helping you with your training. But believe me, this isn’t the focus of the weight training for wrestling plans I have my wrestlers use. Look at all the infomercials out there for the “next biggest thing in fat loss” or whatever. This is the exact program he used over the summer of 2009, the summer before Cornell placed 2nd at Nationals and had 2 National Finalists. In addition, Tom used similar types of programs for the 10+ years he was at Cornell working with the wrestlers. Additionally, I think it’s worth considering the fact that if these new age styles of training were so groundbreaking and effective, don’t you think all the big wrestling schools like Iowa, Cornell, Iowa State, etc. While some would say the program looked boring and repetitive (you would not believe the repetition of such exercises as the Bench Press, Squats, High Pulls, Weighted Pullups, and other exercises that many may consider to be plain and boring but obviously get the job done) the fact of the matter is this- it works. So for those of you who aren’t fortunate to workout at a well-equipped hardcore gym, keep reading, I have some great news for you…
Bench Press- 5×3
Bicep Curls- 3×10
First, a great majority, especially those at the collegiate level, are basically offshoots of the football weight training program. And that should be the same way you approach yourweight training for wrestling. While I do believe that these are great ways to bridge the gap between traditional weight room strength and functional wrestling strength (I use them myself often with my wrestlers), I also understand that a majority of wrestlers reading this article do not have access to this type of equipment. Sticking to the tried and true barbell and dumbbell exercises that have withstood the test of time is what’s going to lead to the best results with your weight training for wrestling plan. Oftentimes people are after the next greatest thing. These percentages and 2 more weeks of this program are included as one of 4 free gifts for signing up for my newsletter at http://www.wrestler-power.com
Bicep Curls- 3×10
Alternate Dumbbell Bench- 3×10
Superset- Bench Press 4×8 and Med Ball Pushups 3×8
Superset- Squat 4×8 and Dumbbell Walking Lunge 3×8
Weight Training for Wrestling Workout (first week in Tom’s Summer Program)
Power Clean- 5×4
Incline Bench- 4×8
Day 4 Weight Training for Wrestling
Day 2 Weight Training for Wrestling
Day 3 Weight Training for Wrestling
Cable Row- 3×10
Power Clean- 5×4
Second, there are a few systems and programs that are available that are absolutely fantastic. There are two major issues that I’ve seen with weight training for wrestling programs in my years of experience.
Tricep Kickbacks- 3×10
. I know, I post them from time to time. As wrestlers we know the truth- nothing replaces good old fashioned hard work
The addiction gets on to the gamblers to such an extent that they fail to think wisely before acting. Their debt keeps building and it may reach an amount that exceeds their capacity to repay.. Over time, it becomes a habit, and eventually an obsession that can’t be overcome. This proves to be detrimental to their social and family life. In spite of the losses incurred, they continue betting. According to the National Research Council, 10 to 17% of the children of problem gamblers have been abused and so have 25 to 50% of the partners of problems gamblers.
? Children of parents who are problem gamblers or gambling addicts tend to feel abandoned and angry, further increasing stress and leading to strained family relations.
? The stress from gambling may lead to health issues like ulcers, stomach problems, muscle pains, headaches, and problems with sleep.
? Gambling can lead to criminal activities. Six to eight million people in America are estimated to have a gambling problem.
? Over time, the practice of gambling starts becoming a habit and begins to have damaging effects at psychological, physical, and social levels. Due to lost mental peace, they may ill-treat their spouse and children. Card games, coin tossing, and dice-based games are some non-casino based forms of gambling. It can drag you into crime, gambling isn’t fun.
Initially, one looks at gambling as a way to run away from life’s problems, or from stress, anger, and loneliness. Some go that way to forget the sorrow of losing big sums when gambling.
? Research has shown that gambling can lead to harmful behavior in people. The National Council of Problem Gambling (NCPG) describes this type of gambling behavior as problem gambling.
? A majority of those addicted to gambling have substance abuse disorders.
? An Austrian study said that around 1 in 5 suicidal patients had a gambling problem.
Compulsive gambling leads to bankruptcy
? They start borrowing money and take secret loans. The decision to gamble money is based on three parameters namely; how much to bet, the predictability of the event, and the conditions agreed upon, between the gamblers. The effect is similar to that of having a drug or a drink, which is why gambling changes one’s mental state and mood.
? Studies show that children with a sibling or parent addicted to gambling, are more likely to take to substance abuse.
? The addiction to gambling can leave one in bankruptcy. The addiction has negative effects on one’s physical and mental health and it proves to be detrimental to one’s social, personal, and professional life. The addiction robs a gambler of all the productive time and leads to loss of efficiency at work. Sports betting and arbitrage betting are the other types. The stress of risking huge amounts of money or the frustration after losing it can increase the tendency of abuse in gamblers. The skill of a gambler lies in weighing the three parameters and making a decision about what amount should be staked and how much should be expected in return.
? Substances of abuse are served at casinos and in pubs and clubs, thus increasing the likelihood of gamblers consuming them. The addiction leads people to continue with gambling irrespective of whether they earn or lose in the deal. They tend to stay away from their near ones, resulting in distrust between them and their loved ones.
? Gambling has proven to be addictive. On giving a serious consideration to the negative effects of gambling, we realize that it is best avoided.
? Gamblers often exhibit mood swings and a strangely secretive behavior. It causes a decline in his/her work performance, thus hampering his career.
? As gambling leads to increased criminal activities, in a way, gamblers add to the burden on prisons and the legal system.
Gambling refers to the betting of money on an event with an uncertain outcome, with the intent of winning additional wealth. It soon becomes a habit that can’t be broken.
? Gambling at the cost of one’s job results in a decline in the quality of his professional life. Some take to substance abuse to supplement the high they get from winning huge sums while gambling. In the following sections of this Buzzle article, we discuss the negative effects of gambling on the individual and society.
You could be at gunpoint or holding the gun. When they lose the money they had risked, they further gamble to recover the lost amount and it becomes a vicious circle even they can’t escape from.
Gambling = Thoughtless Expenditure + Waste of Time
? Additionally, rehabilitation and public assistance systems are taxed.
? According to a research by NCPG, 76 percent of problem gamblers are likely to have a major depressive disorder.
? Gambling is practiced as a means of recreation. Because of this, they land in worse situations and take the wrong decisions in life.
? People continue gambling with the greed of winning money. The greed never ends and they keep betting more and more. Thus, gambling can have a grave economic impact which is difficult to reverse.
? Problem gamblers and addicts tend to abuse their family members. Addiction to gambling, coupled with substance abuse can make the gamblers physically abusive towards their family. Thus, gambling practices cause a huge financial burden on the families of the affected and on the society at large.
? According to the University of New York, in people with alcohol use disorders, the chances of developing an addiction to gambling are 23 times higher.
? Addiction to gambling has been linked with substance abuse. The two go hand in hand. They engage in gambling activities at the cost of their time with family and friends. Rehabilitating the gambling addicts needs money and time, and the process is not very easy. Their mental state can even lead to suicidal tendencies.
? People who fall prey to gambling tend to remain away from their families and waste money on other bad practices. To add to the so-called merry atmosphere, gamblers often smoke or drink while playing.
? According to a study by the George State University, 50% of the problem gamblers commit crime. Betting is a mentally taxing activity, and as one goes on risking more and more money, anxiety starts building.
? The costs of treating compulsive gamblers are huge. It only leads to a thoughtless expenditure of money and valuables.
? Similar to how an individual keeps consuming substances like drugs or alcohol to experience an altered mental state, he continues to gamble. A recreational activity is supposed to be refreshing and relaxing, but something like gambling is contrary to the very purpose of recreation. A study by the same university suggested that 73% of the individuals who are imprisoned are found to be problem gamblers.
Mental and physical health problems, financial issues, and conflicts in the family are among the common negative effects of gambling. ? Apart from absence at work and drop in efficiency, a common observation is that gamblers tend to steal money and engage in fraudulent behavior to recover from financial losses incurred when gambling, or to get more money to bet.
Games offered in casinos, table games like poker, Red Dog, and Blackjack, as also electronic games like Slot Machine and Video Poker are some of the common types of gambling. Forget satisfaction or peace, it is not even refreshing in the real sense
Once you get good at picking machines, calling your bets, and playing to win, you have developed a game plan that will serve you not only in the online world, but also in the real life casinos of the Vegas strip. Yes, slot machines require some skill and planning. And remember, every coin has another side. Make sure you have done your homework, so you can call the shots on which you turn out to be. Yet every year, many citizens make a living in the hallowed halls of the casinos. Are you the kind of person that can reach a contented level with your winnings? Do you think one more turn of the one-armed bandit will be the difference maker that sets everything wrong, right? In other words, do you take unnecessary risks, or do you know when to say when?
Here are five advantages of playing free slot games online:
2. Play without risk. You can sit and play for as long as you would like, and never hear a word of unruly descent targeted your direction. By playing free slot machines, you can learn to control factors, which may or may not lead you to success in an easier environment than traditional casinos. By playing free slot games online, you never have someone breathing down your neck wishing that you would go away so they can have their turn. Of all the games out there, however, one of the best choices are free slot games.
There are a lot of great games online for you to play free of charge, especially if you are a casino person.
3. Target a game plan. One of the biggest drawbacks of playing in a real world casino is the shoulder-to-shoulder congestion that too often populates the players’ machines and tables. From free roulette games to free Keno games to free Poker games and all points in between, you can spend hours at a time having fun with your very own tailor made casino that doesn’t have to cost you a cent. Free slot games give you all of the real world slot machine action you can handle with precision accuracy.
1. Practice your skills. When there is no real money involved, there is no real risk. Most of the time, the house stands to win. This is definitely a good thing for casual and excessive online gamers. Before you get to that point, you will want to learn the nuances of any game in an environment that does not require you to ante up the money. And that is no gamble!
5. Learn something about yourself. How can something go right? How can something go wrong? The kind of gamer that asks these questions, and makes wise decisions will always be a winner at the end of the game. Planning you will hear about in a moment, but first focus on skills. How much will you wager? Is this slot game or that one working better for you? Approximately how many pulls does it take for you to produce a win?. Consider the advantages of playing free slot games online before you ever take a step toward the real thing. This is no big mystery. That’s why it’s called gambling. The more you play free slot games online, the more chances you have to win and lose. Pure luck produces more losers than it ever will winners. And with each win, and with each loss, you will learn something about yourself as a player and as a person.